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Calculator · upgrade payback

Is that upgrade worth the cost?

Simple payback is the net cost after confirmed incentives divided by what the upgrade saves each year. Use a written quote and a savings estimate you can explain; the result is only as good as those two numbers.

Updated November 1, 2026 · Edited by Carlos Gil, publisher · formulas and rate presets checked against the sources below

Short answer

  • Simple payback = (installed cost − confirmed upfront incentives) ÷ annual savings: $300 net with $100 a year in savings pays back in 3 years.
  • If annual savings are zero or negative, the upgrade never pays back on energy cost alone.

Your numbers

Example values

These are example inputs so you can see how it works. Replace them with your own.

Only rebates or instant discounts you've confirmed you qualify for. Federal home-improvement credits ended for most work installed after 2025; see verified rebates and credits.

How do you want to estimate the savings?

Extra maintenance or subscription cost per year. Negative if upkeep goes down.

Result

EstimateFrom example values

3.0 years

Net upfront cost
$300
$300 installed − $0 confirmed incentives
Annual net savings
$100.00
Simple payback
3.0 years

How this is calculated

Net upfront cost = installed cost − confirmed upfront incentives. Simple payback = net upfront cost ÷ (annual savings − added yearly upkeep), shown only when that is positive. With the example: $300 ÷ $100 a year = 3 years.

From kWh: annual savings = (kWh a year now − kWh a year after) × your price per kWh. Use the per-kWh rate, not your all-in average.

What this leaves out

  • Financing costs, interest, and the time value of money.
  • Future changes in electricity prices. We don't assume prices will rise.
  • Tax credits or rebates you haven't confirmed. We never add them automatically.
  • Equipment lifespan and replacement timing. A payback longer than the equipment's life means it doesn't pay back.
  • Comfort, health, resale or reliability benefits, which may matter more than payback.

Illustrative example: a smart thermostat with a JEA rebate

An invented $150 installed price, less JEA's $50 smart thermostat rebate once you've confirmed you qualify, is a net cost of $100. ENERGY STAR says that, on average, a smart thermostat saves approximately 8% of heating and cooling bills, or $50 a year, and that savings depend on climate, comfort preferences and occupancy, with homes that are always occupied seeing less.

  • At ENERGY STAR's $50 average: $100 ÷ $50.00 = 2.0 years.
  • At an invented $25 a year, half the average, for a home that's rarely empty: 4.0 years.

Enter both as a low and high estimate to see the range. ENERGY STAR's figure is a national average, not a Florida estimate; the smart thermostat guide works through it for FPL and JEA bills.

Illustrative example: the price you use moves payback by a year

An invented $2,400 heat pump water heater quote, less JEA's $350 rebate for a heat pump water heater, saving an invented 1,800 kWh a year. Use the figure from your own quote or the equipment's label instead. The only thing that changes below is the price per kWh, from JEA's rates effective October 1, 2026 with November fuel, before taxes and fees.

Price usedSavings a yearSimple payback
JEA's first-1,000 kWh price (12.79¢)$230.228.9 years
JEA's above-1,000 kWh price (14.68¢)$264.247.8 years

If your bills are usually above 1,000 kWh, the kWh the upgrade saves come off the higher price and the faster payback applies. If they're usually below, use the lower price. When they cross the line from month to month, a range is the honest answer.

Illustrative example: replacing a failed air conditioner

When equipment has failed, you're buying something either way, so the question is whether the efficient model's extra cost pays back. Invented quotes: $6,200 for a basic system and $7,000 for one that qualifies for FPL's $200 instant credit (a new indoor and outdoor system rated SEER2 15.2 or higher, through an FPL Participating Independent Contractor). The efficient system is estimated to use an invented 1,200 kWh a year less.

  • Extra cost only: $800 − $200 = $600, saving $171.10 a year at FPL's 14.26¢ above 1,000 kWh. Payback: 3.5 years.
  • Whole price, the wrong comparison here: $6,800 ÷ $171.10 = 40 years.
  • On JEA: JEA's $200 heating and cooling rebate (ENERGY STAR equipment, a pre-qualified contractor, applied for within 90 days) gives the same $600 extra cost; at 14.68¢ the payback is 3.4 years.

Enter the extra cost as the installed cost and the qualifying incentive in the incentives box. Ask for both quotes in writing, with the model numbers, so you can check the efficiency rating against the program's requirement.

Which incentives belong in the upfront box

The calculator subtracts confirmed upfront incentives from the installed cost. Not every incentive works that way. Programs we verified on October 31, 2026:

IncentiveHow it's paidWhere it goes
FPL A/C rebate: $200 for a new indoor and outdoor system rated SEER2 15.2 or higher, through an FPL Participating Independent ContractorInstant credit on the contractor's invoiceUpfront incentives, if your quote doesn't already show it
FPL ceiling insulation rebate: $220 where existing insulation is below R-8, through an FPL contractorInstantUpfront incentives, if your quote doesn't already show it
JEA rebates, for example $200 for an ENERGY STAR heating and cooling system through a pre-qualified contractor, $350 for a heat pump water heater, $50 for a smart thermostatRebate you apply for; the heating and cooling rebate within 90 days and no later than October 10, 2027Upfront incentives once you've confirmed you qualify, knowing you pay the full price first
FPL On Call: for example $6 a month for central A/C, April to October, where offeredMonthly bill creditAnnual savings, not upfront: $42 a year for central A/C
Florida sales tax exemption for solar energy systemsApplied at purchase; the buyer certifies to the sellerAlready in the quote, so don't subtract it again
Federal 25C and 25D creditsEnded for work placed in service or completed after 2025Nowhere, for new work
Florida HOMES and HEEHR rebatesNot launched; the state says they're expected in the futureNowhere until they open

Program rules change. Check the current terms on the rebates page and with the utility before you count anything.

Building a savings estimate you can defend

  1. Start from kWh, not percentages: the equipment's yearly kWh now and after, from labels, spec sheets or a written estimate.
  2. Value it at the price of your next kWh from the price per kWh calculator, not your all-in average.
  3. Give a low and a high figure. If the low one still pays back in time, the decision is easy.
  4. Don't add up percentage savings from upgrades that affect the same load. Each one works on what's left after the other.

Illustrative example: overlapping savings

Two upgrades are each estimated to cut an invented $1,000 yearly cooling cost by 10%. Together they don't save $200: the second cuts 10% of the $900 left after the first, so the total is $190.

Questions to ask before you sign

  • What are the model numbers and efficiency ratings, and do they meet the rebate program's requirement?
  • Is the contractor an FPL Participating Independent Contractor or a JEA pre-qualified contractor, where the program needs one?
  • Does the quote already show an instant discount, and who applies for any rebate paid later?
  • How was the savings estimate worked out: from which kWh, at which price per kWh, and for how many months of use a year?
  • What yearly upkeep comes with the new equipment, such as filters, service plans or subscriptions?

Answers in writing make every number in the calculator above something you can check later.

Mistakes that make payback look better than it is

  • The full price when you'd replace the equipment anyway. If the old unit has failed, the efficient model's payback is the extra cost over the model you'd otherwise buy, divided by the extra savings. Enter that difference as the installed cost.
  • Savings in months the equipment doesn't run. A heating upgrade in Florida saves only in the months you heat.
  • Upkeep left at zero. Subscriptions, filters or service plans reduce the yearly saving. Put them in the upkeep box.
  • An incentive counted twice. An instant discount already on the quote shouldn't go in the incentives box as well.

Simple payback at a glance

Years to pay back, by net upfront cost (after confirmed incentives) and annual net savings. Read across from your net cost to your savings. A figure longer than the equipment is expected to last means it won't pay for itself on energy savings alone.

Simple payback in years: net upfront cost ÷ annual net savings
Net upfront costSaves $50/yrSaves $100/yrSaves $250/yrSaves $500/yr
$1503.0 yrs1.5 yrs0.6 yrs0.3 yrs
$3006.0 yrs3.0 yrs1.2 yrs0.6 yrs
$1,00020.0 yrs10.0 yrs4.0 yrs2.0 yrs
$5,000100.0 yrs50.0 yrs20.0 yrs10.0 yrs

Frequently asked questions

Can I still claim the federal energy tax credits?

Not for new work. The IRS says the Energy Efficient Home Improvement Credit doesn't apply to property placed in service after December 31, 2025, and the Residential Clean Energy Credit doesn't apply to expenditures made after that date.

Which rebates can I subtract from the cost?

Only incentives you've confirmed apply to your equipment and installer, such as an instant discount on the contractor's invoice. Utilities set their own rules; FPL and JEA list theirs on their websites.

How do I estimate annual savings?

Estimate the kWh a year before and after the upgrade and multiply the difference by your price per kWh, or use a written estimate you can explain. Payback is only as good as that estimate.

What does simple payback leave out?

Financing and interest, future electricity prices, unconfirmed incentives, equipment lifespan, and comfort or reliability benefits. A payback longer than the equipment's life means it doesn't pay back.

Is a long payback always a bad investment?

Not necessarily. Replacing failed equipment or improving comfort can matter more than payback. The number only shows how the energy savings compare with the cost.

Sources

  1. IRS FS-2025-05: changes to sections 25C and 25D under Public Law 119-21 · checked October 31, 2026
  2. FPL A/C rebate · checked October 31, 2026
  3. FPL ceiling insulation rebate · checked October 31, 2026
  4. FPL On Call · checked October 31, 2026
  5. JEA residential rebates · checked October 31, 2026
  6. JEA heating and cooling rebates · checked October 31, 2026
  7. ENERGY STAR smart thermostat FAQ · checked October 31, 2026
  8. Florida Department of Revenue, sales tax incentives · checked October 31, 2026
  9. Florida Energy Saver Program (FDACS) · checked October 31, 2026
  10. FPL residential rates, October 2026 (PDF) · checked October 31, 2026
  11. JEA rates, including Electric Rates Definitions · checked October 31, 2026